While walking through the park one day you encounter a man you
have never met before, who comes up to you and shows you a
folded up piece of paper.
"On this piece of paper I have written an integer from
0 to 119," he says. "If you give me $10, I will allow you to choose one of the
groups I am about to list; if the number I wrote is in the group you
pick, I will give you $30. If not, I will give you nothing.
Each group contains 60 of the 120 numbers from 0 to 119."
Naively, you accept. He lists the groups as follows:
1. The numbers from 0-59
2. The numbers from 60-119
3. Even numbers
4. Odd numbers
5. Numbers which have a remainder of 0 or 1 when divided by 4
6. Numbers which have a remainder of 2 or 3 when divided by 4
7. Numbers which have a remainder of 0, 1, or 2 when divided by 6
8. Numbers which have a remainder of 3, 4, or 5 when divided by 6
9. Numbers which have a remainder of 0, 1, 2, or 3 when divided by 8
10. Numbers which have a remainder of 4, 5, 6, or 7 when divided by 8
11. Numbers which have a remainder of 0, 1, 2, 3, or 4 when divided by 10
12. Numbers which have a remainder of 5, 6, 7, 8, or 9 when divided by 10
Which group do you choose?
More interestingly, what is your strategy for playing multiple iterations of this game?